Saturday, December 15, 2007

Weatherman Notebook - The Wedge

As an on-air meteorologist, I get a budget of roughly 2 minutes to give you a forecast in the morning with 20 to 30 seconds going to my 7-day forecast. Unfortunately, that leaves me little to no time to get deep into an evolving weather pattern for us with significant swings in the weather.

Coming off an incredible week of record highs including setting a new all-time record high at 80 degrees, today (Dec. 15th) as been nothing short of amazing with the difference in weather as we have 'wedged' in. You'll often hear meteorologists talk about a wedge, cool to cold damp air trapped against the eastern slopes of the big North Carolina mountains in a sharp v-shaped wedge appearance. Here's an example, this picture shows the wedge shape and notice the coldest temperatures or shades of light blue to blue hug the eastern sides of the mountains in the foothills to western piedmont. This is the heart of any wedge or cold air damming event.
You'll notice in the map, we're definitely chilly to cold on this Saturday. Colors in the yellow or orange range are 60s and even 70s. This map shows most of our region in a temperature range of 34 - 47. These are the weather scenarios that can raise eyebrows for a forecaster as a cold wedge about 8 to 12 degrees colder can bring wicked ice or sleet storms. Boy, how we just love those!!
This next map will show the source for a good classic wedge event, the massive high over New England.


Note the letter 'H' over New York with a pressure of 1037mb. That's a strong area of high pressure with a good supply of cold air over eastern Canada to tap into and drain it down the eastern side of the Appalachian mountains. You can get a sense of this happening by looking at the u-shape nature of the lines across the Carolinas (isobars). While this is happening, a large winter storm is moving up the Mississippi River Valley dragging good moisture into our area and yes, a potential soaking rain - hoooray! Rain into a cold wedge of air acts to cool the temperatures even more. This becomes an issue when the dew point temperature (how moist or dry the air is) is down into the 20s. We're very fortunate though to escape any risk of significant ice as the high over northern New England is not sliding over New York to New Jersey and anchoring in. It's moving steadily east. Because of this, we'll avoid a continuously strengthening high pressure bringing colder and colder temperatures into our area. Sort of a, brief shot of chilly air then gone. This was a close one for our area as the ingedients almost came together for a stronger wedge and possible bout of winter weather.

Incidentally, in this example chart, the pink shaded areas with blue, green... that's computer estimation of liquid in a rain guage over a 6 hour period. That light pink over us indicates really light rain or drizzle through 1pm Saturday. Brighter pinks and blues come in late in the day, or, soaking rain for us:)

Sunday, December 9, 2007

Rockin' around the Christmas Tree at the Christmas party hop..

Okay, so there was no Christmas tree...or a hop, but the annual Morning Show Christmas Party was a big hit.

We had such a great time on Saturday getting together and celebrating with friends and loved ones.

This is my third year at the party, and it seems to get bigger every year. It was so big this year, that we had to move the party to outside of someone's house!

This year the party was at the PF Chang's at Phillips Place. It was a lot of fun.

Great food, good friends and of course, the cut-throat Chinese gift exchange.

That's the one where everyone draws a number, and you pick gifts in that order. You can either pick a new gift, or steal one that has already been opened.

Of course with our group, anything with coffee or cocoa was a HUGE hit - we are a MORNING group after all!

I took some pictures at the party with my phone, so they aren't the best quality, but here they are...hope you enjoy.

Lots of other people were taking pics as well, so maybe we can get more on later!

Merry Christmas y'all!




Lenise and Alexis

The Faris Family

Saturday, December 8, 2007

Weatherman Notebook...

Here we are in the midst of a beautiful weekend in December! I can't believe I'll be going to our morning show Christmas party in short sleeves!!

All indicators support the warmth discussed from my prior post earlier this week about the big warm up coming. I've attached a visible satellite image taken at 10:31am Saturday. In this image, we're using the sun's light to illuminate various levels of cloudiness. In the image provided, most of the cloudiness is along or west of the North Carolina mountains into Kentucky and Tennessee and a small strip of clouds extend across Georgia into South Carolina. The absence of clouds across our area is because of those mountains. We have a predominant west to southwest wind from the surface up to around 6,000'. This is a hostile wind direction for clouds trying to move into our area as the wind flows over the mountains and dries out significantly. Notice the small strip of clouds in Georgia to South Carolina... the tall mountains of North Carolina only extend into a small portion of northern Georgia, so the west wind flowing across these clouds is not getting the benefit of downslope drying over the tall mountains and they're able to hold together a little better. In the image attached, you'll also see Lake Norman.





Everything is on track for a day in the 65 to 70 (* Update - Charlotte hit 74 for a high today) range across our area for this Saturday afternoon! More for Sunday... in the 60s & 70s although we'll have a mix of clouds and sun. How about this for Monday, with very warm air aloft around our big ridge of high pressure and a west to southwest surface flow to 6,000', the potential exists for a day of 73 - 78 degree weather!!! That would shatter the record of 73... stay tuned.

Enjoy this warm stretch into next midweek as next weekend looks much cooler with a strong cold front pushing across.

Tuesday, December 4, 2007

Frustrating Pattern for Snow Lovers

Ask any youngster from my many past school visits and they'll tell you about my passion for snow. It's what hooked me on weather in the 5th grade, and to be honest, that 5th grader still burns a fire inside of me every Winter. Of course I realize there are some folks (mainly adults) who rather see a minimal amount of snow for driving purposes or kids being off from school. And after all, we are in the South where the low frequency of winter storms dictates a certain unease every time a potential winter forecast develops. Just watch our highways and interstates bog down as soon as snowflakes are a flying or sleet pellets are bouncing off the pavement. I've never seen a busier man than our resident traffic expert Chuck Roads, trying to keep up with accidents around the region and the length of commutes blossoming every 10 minutes! It's something else...

So here we are this week where temperatures will run near normal to slightly below normal. Our 30 year climatological average high this time of year is 57 and we'll be either side of that high this week. But it was just a week ago where it looked as if the pattern this week could be even colder and more promising for snow lovers with a deep trough of cold air buckling all the way into the Southeast, with a decent storm track too. Not ideal but at least decent. The big area of low pressure over New England developed on cue (recall yesterday's chilly gusty winds) but instead of a remaining locked in position across southeast Canada with a constant drain of polar or even arctic air into the eastern half of the country, it's slowly going to move away since we do not have a blocking high to the east of the system. And here it comes...

There it is in our computer models in the medium range forecasts. The massive ridge of high pressure in the Southeast with a healthy supply of warm air while cooler weather develops in the western half of the nation with a big area of low pressure. As far as I can tell, this pattern develops over the weekend and may take us deep into next week. This will do two things... push temperatures a solid 10 to 20 degrees above average and limit our chances for rain as systems move over and around the ridge dragging weakened fronts across the Carolinas. And yes, a similar pattern to what we saw in August, September and even a chunk of October. It's the worst possible pattern change for a snow lover. Looking over some major indices and teleconnecting to the weeks ahead, it appears the ridge will cave with time and we can get back into something at least closer to Winter weather forecasting. Million dollar question, will this happen fast enough for those wishing for a White Christmas?? My enthusiasm is less than stellar but I refuse to close the door on the days before Christmas.

On the flip side, if you enjoy outdoor activities in 'short sleeves'... golf, tennis, mountain biking, hiking and even fishing, afternoon temperatures will be excellent! On cue this morning, John Carter asked me about a weekend round of golf as soon as he saw my 7-day forecast. And finally, don't forget about your heating bill. An above normal pattern of temperatures will reduce your heating bill, in a year in which heating rates figure to run high. Our home heats with gas, you better believe I'll look to save a few dollars with warmer weather. We felt that pinch this Summer with air conditioning utility bills, so a little warm weather this time of year is not all bad. So long as it doesn't stick around too long-hah!

John, how about tee-time around 8:00am Saturday morning?

Friday, November 30, 2007

Yeah I’m a moving on, I'm through with you....

Sheriff Jim Pendergraph.

Has a nice ring to it, at least for the rest of the day. Today is the last official day for the Sheriff, who is moving on to work with Homeland Security.

Sounds pretty cool.

The only possible concern...there is no replacement. No, not just no one to take over - they haven't even named a replacement!

On Monday night, there will be a meeting to discuss the fact that we need a replacement. However, the sheriff's department has enough checks and balances, that it won't fall apart (right away) without a Sheriff.

But is does raise the question - Do YOU feel less safe, knowing there is not a Sheriff in charge? Check out the poll and let us know!

So when is Too Early for Christmas Music?

We asked, and you answered!

In our biggest poll yet, we wanted to know - when is it too soon for Christmas music on the radio.

With all the retailers hitting stores earlier and earlier, it seems like Christmas starts in mid-October! (Not that I mind, I love Christmas music!)

Here is how the ratings broke down:

46% - Before Halloween is too early
51% - Before Thanksgiving is too early
8% - More than a Week Before Christmas is too early
0% - The Day of is the Only Time!


We love that so many people wanted to take part in the poll.

Look for future polls!

Tuesday, November 27, 2007

In the Holiday Spirit



Click on the picture for a good laugh!

Sounds like a good plan...



Such a simple idea, yet so hard to do.

Monday, November 26, 2007

Want to Win Hannah Montana Tickets?

Want to win a pair of tickets to the Hannah Montana "Best of Both Worlds" concert at the Bobcats Arena?



To win - be the first to E-MAIL your answer to inbox@wbtv.com.

This is a two-part question, and you must get both right to win.

In the Hannah Montana show, Miley has only had one serious boyfriend.
1 - How old was the boy Miley dated to make the boyfriend jealous?
2 - The boyfriend is a movie star, what was his "catch phrase" on the show?

The first person to email the right answer to inbox@wbtv.com wins a pair of tickets to tomorrow night's concert!

Good Luck

UPDATE!!!

We have a winner! Eugenia Mitchell from Rock Hill knew that the correct answers were:
1 - 11 and 3/4s
2 - "I've slayed you once and don't make me slay you again."

Are You Seriously Arguing With Me...Without an Actual Point?

Yes I'll admit it - Clemson and South Carolina fans will always argue and there doesn't always have to be a point. But sometimes its just ridiculous!

Clemson was in Columbia on Saturday for the 99th consecutive meeting of the in-state rivals. (We've actually played 104 games).

Anyways, Clemson was ahead most of the game, but USC pulled ahead in the last few minutes of the game. Clemson kicked a field goal as time ran out, winning 23-21.

That of course leads to "Who SHOULD have won" debates.

Case in point:

I was on my Facebook on Sunday, when I got a message from a girl I went to school with at USC. (Keep in mind, I'm Clemson fan who went to school at University of South Carolina)

Here's how the conversation went:

Her: cutting it pretty close there, huh?

Me: Yup, but a win is a win.

Her: But who wants a "barely" win?

Me: "Barely Winning" is better than "Barely Losing"

Her: No, its not...if you barely win that mean you almost lost. But if you barely lose that means you almost won and winning is great.

Me: Exactly. But almost only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades. So at the end of the day, whoever has the most points wins. Hence the fact that Clemson won. Like you said "winning is great."

Her: Everybody gets lucky once in a while.

Me: Wow. I'm astonished at how well thought out your arguments are. You should be a professional debater.

Her: haha thanks!!! hey it'll be your birthday soon and you'll be soo old.

Ummmmm...what?

Am I the only one who doesn't understand her logic?